The USA Today has a pretty good article about a split of opinions by Democrats on whether Kerry is doing well or not.
Kerry's team says it's amazing that he's tied with a wartime president after a $60 million ad campaign against him. "They (the Bush campaign) thought they would unleash this and we would be standing before you dead. That is not the case," Kerry's campaign manager, Mary Beth Cahill, said in an interview Tuesday.
Well, yeah, but it's not the same wartime President that we had two years ago. This isn't an overwhelmingly popular war. And the $60 million ad campaign hasn't been completely unleashed yet.